No, the CDC hasn’t Downgraded the Death Count

Burials on Hart Island, where New York’s unclaimed lie in mass graves, have risen fivefold – Washington Post, April 16, 2020

I keep coming across trump cultists on Conspiracy Theory Central aka Facebook breathlessly claiming that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has drastically downgraded the number of coronavirus-related deaths. They haven’t; in fact, based upon their data set – death certificates – it appears the rate is actually higher, but because there is a significant lag in reporting that can be up to eight weeks, the numbers they are reporting appear lower to those who don’t dig into the data.

But don’t take my word for it…

U.S. Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported, C.D.C. Data Suggests

These numbers are preliminary because death certificates take time to be processed and collected, and complete death tallies from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention can take up to eight weeks to become final. The speed of that data reporting varies considerably by state. In Connecticut, for example, where reported coronavirus deaths are high, the C.D.C. statistics include zero reported deaths from any cause since Feb. 1, because of reporting lags.

New York Times, April 28, 2020

And for all you cultists brainwashed to hate the NY Times, here is the fine print from the actual CDC report that says exactly what the Times reported because it’s where the Times got it:

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)

Anyway… Thanks for listening to me whine.

I know it won’t matter a hoot but…

I feel better now.


4 Replies to “No, the CDC hasn’t Downgraded the Death Count”

  1. There is also a conspiracy that states (perhaps Democrats, but most likely all of them since money is involved) are inflating their death figures in order to get a federal cash handout. So, the count is based on….what?
    So, conspirators are saying the tally is high, the tally is over-inflated, the tally should be lower, and the big numbers are not true, and are just for ‘scare tactics’. In an election year, it seems the use and abuse of statistics will always be bent to whatever political narrative is required.
    What they’re not saying, small, medium, or large, is that a large percentage of those dead are either black or Hispanic, so the white supremacists should be rejoicing, and the rest of us, utterly appalled.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Yeah, there’s a lot of garbage to sift through. I think that’s why the CDC is going by the cause of death on the death certificates. It’s not up to them to question whether it’s correct or not and I would say if there is manipulation by hospital coroners then it is a very small percentage of the total… but of course I may be wrong and coroners all over the country may be conspiring with hospital administrators to make money off the virus victims…

      Liked by 1 person

      1. One would like to think that all is above board, if only to show some respect for those who have died through no fault of their own. Prayers, for them and their families, sometimes, are not enough

        Liked by 1 person


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